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✦ Ask the market about crude oil & tankers: answers from this data, as charts and tables, by Claude → ↔ See the natural gas dashboard → ↔ See the US power & energy dashboard: grid, gas burn, new plants, states → ✎ This week's crude oil brief → ◆ All machine-learning models →NYMEX WTI and Brent front-month futures, the spread between them, and the shape of the forward curve.
Front-month futures, daily close, $/barrel.
Daily spread, $/barrel. Below zero means WTI trades at a discount to Brent.
Settlement-month futures prices, $/barrel. A falling curve (backwardation) signals a tight prompt market; a rising curve (contango) signals surplus supply.
Latest stories from BOE Report and the EIA, refreshed every 2 hours. Headlines link to the publisher's site.
US stocks from the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, released Wednesdays, compared with the previous five years.
Million barrels, by week of the year. The shaded band is the range of the previous five years.
| Stock | Million barrels | Weekly change | vs year ago | vs 5-year average |
|---|
Weekly US production, refinery runs and trade from the EIA, with the EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook for prices and the world balance.
Weekly estimate, million barrels a day.
Share of operable capacity in use, weekly.
Weekly, million barrels a day.
Monthly average spot prices, $/barrel. Dashed months are EIA forecasts.
World production minus consumption, million barrels a day. Above zero, global inventories build; below zero, they draw.
Crack spreads from NYMEX futures: the value of refined products less the cost of WTI crude, per barrel.
3-2-1 = (2 barrels of RBOB gasoline + 1 barrel of heating oil − 3 barrels of WTI) ÷ 3. Product futures converted at 42 gallons a barrel.
Front-month futures, $/barrel.
Every large crude tanker that public AIS receivers can hear: where it is, where it says it is going, whether it is loaded, and how it relates to the US. Updated about every 10 minutes.
Positions come from public AIS data (aisstream.io, shore-based receivers only), so ships in mid-ocean drop out until they near a coast. There is no free reference list of crude tankers, so ships are picked out from what they broadcast: an AIS tanker type and a length of 235 m or more. That covers ULCCs (375 m+, about 3 million barrels; only a handful are in service), VLCCs (320–374 m, about 2 million barrels), Suezmaxes (265–319 m, about 1 million barrels) and Aframaxes (235–264 m, about 0.75 million barrels). LR2 product tankers are the same size as Aframaxes and cannot be told apart from AIS alone, so that class is shown as "Aframax / LR2". LNG carriers on our LNG reference list, gas carriers and floating production or storage units are left out. A ship is only recognised once its type and length have been heard; they are then remembered for 21 days.
"At US port" means heard within 30 km of a US crude port or terminal in the last 24 hours (Corpus Christi, Houston, Texas City, Freeport, Beaumont / Nederland, Port Arthur, LOOP, St. James, Long Beach / Los Angeles, San Francisco Bay, Puget Sound, Valdez, Delaware Bay), or stopped in the Gulf of Mexico lightering area off Texas and Louisiana, where very large tankers transfer cargo to smaller ones. "Bound for US" uses the destination the crew types into AIS, which is not always kept up to date. "Left US" means the ship was at a US port in the last 60 days and has since sailed. For a ship out of range that was underway to a port we recognise, the map shows an estimated position (hollow marker): its last speed projected along standard shipping lanes, with an estimated arrival. Loaded? is read from the draught each ship broadcasts against the usual range for its class (a VLCC sits about 20–22.5 m deep loaded and 9–11 m empty). Click a tile or button to show only those ships on the map and in the list, and click a ship on the map or in the list to open its public VesselFinder page.
| Vessel | Class | Destination (as broadcast) | US link | Loaded? | Position |
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Average thousand barrels a day of US crude oil exported to each country in the month (EIA monthly data, published with about a two-month lag). More recent months, from your monthly file ↓
Sources: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and Short-Term Energy Outlook (EIA API); NYMEX WTI (CL), Brent (BZ), RBOB gasoline (RB) and NY Harbor ULSD (HO) futures via Yahoo Finance, delayed. Crude tanker positions: aisstream.io (shore-based AIS receivers), classified by Sanjo Consult; vessel pages on VesselFinder. Each figure shows its own date. Indicative only, not trading advice.