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Know Thursday's storage number before Thursday.

Ilpana forecasts US natural gas, power and crude oil with machine learning, and every forecast comes with the model's track record against the simple benchmark traders already use.

Request access Open the gas dashboard
This week's storage callLower 48 working gas
—BcfLoading the latest forecast
Reported by EIAIlpana forecastFive-year average
—Ilpana's average miss, Bcf —Five-year average's miss, Bcf

Three markets, one place to read them.

Each dashboard pulls public data from EIA, the grid operators, pipelines and ship positions, refreshes on its own schedule, and puts the forecasts beside the numbers they predict.

Natural gas

Storage, production, demand by sector, LNG exports with the ships at sea, and the weekly storage forecast.

StorageSupplyDemandPipelinesLNG ships
10gas models

Power

Hourly demand against the grid operators' forecasts, gas burned for power by region, price spikes, and the plants being built.

Grid and gas burnPrices and riskNew plantsStates
17power models

Crude oil

Prices and spreads, inventories, refinery margins and the crude tankers loading on the Gulf Coast.

Prices and spreadsInventoriesRefiningTankers
8crude models

Every model shows its track record.

A forecast is only useful if you know how often it has been right. Each of Ilpana's 35 models is tested the same way before it appears on a dashboard.

  1. Trained only on the pastEach week the model is refit on everything before that week and asked to predict the next one, the way it would have been used live.
  2. Compared with the simple answerResults sit next to the benchmark a trader would use without a model: the five-year average, last week, or the futures curve.
  3. Labelled when it doesn't beat itA model that loses to its benchmark says so on its card, and stays as a reference rather than a signal.

The storage model has been tested on 252 weeks of EIA reports since January 2022.

See all 35 models and their results

Ask questions, get the week in one page.

Ask the market

Ask in plain English, such as "Why did storage come in above the five-year average?", and get an answer drawn from the dashboards' current data, with the figures it used.

Ask a question

Friday brief

Every Friday afternoon, a one-page summary of what moved in gas, LNG and crude that week and what the models expect next.

Read the latest brief

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Opens an email to the Ilpana team.

  • All three dashboards, refreshed through the day
  • 35 forecasting models with their backtests
  • Ask the market, with answers from live data
  • The Friday brief by email
  • Price and storage alerts in Slack or email